FORECAST NL

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Newfoundland and Labrador is currently facing a series of pressing economic and social issues that will have both short and long-term consequences. These include substantial provincial debt, a declining and aging population, and the local and global effects of COVID-19. The effects of these social and economic threats will be worsened by the deepening climate emergency and its anticipated effects on oceans, coastal areas, health, and infrastructure. We need to be thoughtful, collaborative, and innovative in our development of solutions. Creative and practical solutions already exist, but they can't be adapted and brought to scale without a balanced approach and open dialogue--which brings us to the reason you are here!

Got ideas? Don't just sit in the back row! Register Now to be part of the conversation.
Click on "Discussions" below to introduce yourself, take part in post-session conversations, share materials, and much more.

Newfoundland and Labrador is currently facing a series of pressing economic and social issues that will have both short and long-term consequences. These include substantial provincial debt, a declining and aging population, and the local and global effects of COVID-19. The effects of these social and economic threats will be worsened by the deepening climate emergency and its anticipated effects on oceans, coastal areas, health, and infrastructure. We need to be thoughtful, collaborative, and innovative in our development of solutions. Creative and practical solutions already exist, but they can't be adapted and brought to scale without a balanced approach and open dialogue--which brings us to the reason you are here!

Got ideas? Don't just sit in the back row! Register Now to be part of the conversation.
Click on "Discussions" below to introduce yourself, take part in post-session conversations, share materials, and much more.

  • COASTAL RISK SCREENING TOOL: LAND PROJECTED TO BE BELOW ANNUAL FLOOD LEVEL IN 2050 (NL)

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    Dr. Finnis wanted to share this online tool, from Climate Central, with us.

    Clicking here will take you to a sea-level rise and coastal flood map focused on NL, which is based on peer-reviewed science in leading journals.

    Areas lower than the selected water level and with an unobstructed path to the ocean are shaded light red on the map.

    There are small Information icons throughout the website, including the Change Other Settings toolbox, which provide more detailed and map-specific documentation.

    Take a look around! Feel free to post thoughts or questions in the Session 2 Discussions forum.




  • Ecological Footprint Calculator

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    Dr. Finnis mentioned this tool, the online Ecological Footprint Calculator, in his presentation during yesterday's session on "Climate Change Impacts & Actions in NL."

    Click the image below to take a look, and find out what your individual footprint looks like!

  • Session 2 on Impacts: Recording and Discussion, Happening Now!

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    If you missed today's session, you can view it now in our Discussions forum, by clicking here.

    This is where you can post comments and questions related to the session.

    Let us know if you have any concerns or technical problems!

  • Session 2: We're live at 12:00PM! Link here.

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    Hi, Everyone

    Here is the link to today's live, virtual session (via the Zoom platform), "Climate Change in NL: Impacts and Actions":

    https://us02web.zoom.us/j/88076676795

    Click this link just before 12:00PM (NST) to join the webinar.

    Any questions or problems joining, reach out to Mandy at mandy.rowsell@mun.ca

  • Article/The New York Times: "The warming atmosphere is causing an arm of the powerful Gulf Stream to weaken"

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    A recent article from Moises Velasquez-Manoff & Jeremy White looks at changing ocean currents in the North Atlantic Ocean, focusing on the Gulf Stream.The interactive globe shows the current moving past Newfoundland

    The authors note that one arm of the Gulf Stream, which moves northward, transporting warm water to Iceland, is slowing down (citing many recent studies, including this one), and that, "without this current — a heat pump on a planetary scale — scientists believe that great swaths of the world might look quite different."

    “We’re all wishing it’s not true,” Peter de Menocal, a paleoceanographer and president and director of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, said of the changing ocean currents. “Because if that happens, it’s just a monstrous change.”

    Some consequences could include: (1) faster sea level rise along parts of the Eastern United States and parts of Europe; (2) stronger hurricanes in the Southeastern United States; and (3) reduced rainfall across the Sahel, a "semi-arid swath of land running the width of Africa that is already a geopolitical tinderbox."

    The article includes an interactive globe that shows the Gulf Streams movement, drawing on data from the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program project.

    Read the article and view the interactive globe here.


  • Podcast: Ecological Grief--How is Climate Change Affecting People's Mental Health?

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    In this episode of the BBC's podcast, Discovery, science journalist Gaia Vince talks to Memorial's Dr. Ashlee Cunsolo--one of our Steering Committee members and a panelist for the session on March 10th--about "Ecogological Grief."

    Listen Here.

    From the BBC:

    "As the Earth experiences more extreme weather, and wildlife is dying, from corals, to insects, to tropical forests, more people are experiencing ecological anxiety and grief. Science journalist Gaia Vince has been reporting on the growing crisis across our planet’s ecosystems, and has met many who are shocked and saddened by the enormity of the environmental changes taking place. She talks to scientists and medics working at the frontline of environmental change, and hears that, despite being expected to distance themselves from what’s happening, they are affected emotionally. Ashlee Consulo, of Memorial University in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador, and Courtney Howard, a doctor in Yellowknife, tell Gaia about their experiences of living and working with Indigenous peoples in areas where temperatures are rising rapidly and the ice is melting. ..."

  • Join us for our second session! Climate Change in NL: Impacts and Actions

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    What exactly do we know about how climate change is affecting NL? We know it is having an impact on the entire planet, but what can we expect to see in our province, specifically?

    Join us as we talk to experts in this field: Dr. Joel Finnis (Climatologist, Memorial); Dr. Ashlee Cunsolo (Arctic & Subarctic Studies, Memorial's Labrador Institute); & Ashley Smith (Owner & Managing Director of Fundamental Inc.)

    We can't wait to hear what questions you have for our panelists, and they are really looking forward to engaging in a conversation with you.

    You can register for the event by clicking here: http://events.constantcontact.com/register/event?llr=nsixiugab&oeidk=a07ehmq58ud674a5333

    (Registering means you will be provided with the Zoom link to join the session on the morning of the event. We will also be posting that information here, in the ForecastNL forum, an hour or two before the event.)


  • Free Online Event: "Canada's Net-Zero Future"

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    The Canadian Institute for Climate Choices is hosting "Canada’s Net-Zero Future: Finding Our Way in the Global Transition" on Friday, February 19th, at 2:30pm NST.

    From their website:

    "Today the Canadian Institute for Climate Choices released the first comprehensive national modelling report on how Canada could achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. Join the Institute and GLOBE Series for an interactive virtual event to delve into the report’s findings in depth and explore potential net-zero pathways for Canada.

    Through an evidence-based discussion of Canada’s options in the transition to a prosperous net-zero economy, participants will be invited to consider:

    Which pathways are most feasible?

    Which are most desirable?

    Which have the greatest potential to deliver on Canada’s commitments?

    To kick off the discussion, Jason Dion, Mitigation Research Director with the Canadian Institute for Climate Choices, will share key findings and insights from the Canada’s Net-Zero Future: Finding Our Way in the Global Transition report. This presentation will be followed by a dialogue between industry leaders, sustainability experts and policy makers to unpack how this new research will affect future business decisions and how Canada can best chart a course towards net-zero. Participants will also have the opportunity to put forward questions for consideration, and members of a “people’s panel” will join live on-screen to interact directly with the speakers.

    Space will be limited to ensure a high level of engagement and discussion.

    Register today to secure your spot for this free interactive event: https://www.globeseries.com/canadas-net-zero-future/

  • Video: Climate Change 101

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    It doesn't get more straight forward than this! Here's Bill Nye the Science Guy taking us through some of the fundamentals of climate change in under 4 minutes. Does he touch on any of your primary concerns? Have we already seen evidence of the impact of some of these phenomena in NL? Let us know what you're thinking in the Discussion or Topics forums! (And stay tuned for more information on our next session, dedicated to NL's environment.)



  • Watch the Video: Climate Change: The Human Impact

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    Conservation Corps Newfoundland and Labrador put together this video in 2016 to show the impact human activities are having on our planet.

    "Planet earth is warming up quickly as a result of human activities, mainly the burning of fossil fuels. But what are fossil fuels and how do they cause this change in climate? What other human actions contribute to the rising of our average global temperature? Watch this video to find out about the Greenhouse Effect, Greenhouse Gases, and Fossil Fuels, and how these and other factors contribute to global climate change!"

    Created by Stephanie Tucker and Penny Moran, 2016.

    Conservation Corps Newfoundland and Labrador is a not-for-profit organization, "dedicated to providing youth with training and employment in environmental and cultural heritage."

    Learn more about CCNL here!